The data shows that institutions have hoarded a large amount of BTC between 1,2000-15,000 US dollars, and according to analysts at Whalemap, this is a positive trend because institutions and whales usually consider using long-term investment strategies to hoard BTC.
As Cointelegraph previously reported, large investors are hoarding BTC, not retail investors. This also explains the decline in mainstream interest in BTC. Although BTC has shown a parabolic rise in recent months, various indicators including Google Trends have shown that mainstream demand for BTC is sluggish.
The institution “FOMO” makes the current BTC rise stronger than the previous cycle
Whalemap analysts described the recent surge in whale demand for BTC as “institutional FOMO”.
FOMO is the abbreviation of “fear of missing out”, which refers to the tendency of investors to buy more and more assets out of fear that assets will continue to soar. Analysts saw the whale clusters and funds flowing into the whale wallet in the chart. They said:
“This is what the agency FOMO looks like.”
When whale addresses (addresses holding more than 10,000 BTC) buy Bitcoin and do not move for a long time, whale clusters will appear.
This indicates that Whale plans to put its most recent BTC purchases in its personal wallet. Whalemap analyst stated:
“The bubble indicates that the whale bought the price of the BTC currently held.”
The whale hoarding of BTC is likely to be based on two key trends that have emerged in the cryptocurrency market since October last year.
First, in the recent rise, the liquidation of short contracts has decreased significantly. When BTC exploded before, major exchanges liquidated contracts worth more than $100 million. This shows that the rise is not a short-term squeeze, but an actual accumulation phase.
Second, the spot market has been leading the derivatives market. When the price of BTC increases, the funding rate of BTC rarely exceeds 0.01% on average.
The low funding rate shows that the futures market is not short, which shows that demand comes from elsewhere.
This bull market will be more stable than 2017
With the participation of whales and institutions, the overall BTC transaction volume has increased significantly in the recent rise.
Data from the on-chain market analysis company Santiment also shows that the BTC transaction volume is approximately $31 billion, which is much higher than the level on January 6, 2018. At that time, the price of BTC also hovered around US$16,350.
Santiment analysts found that compared with 2017’s rise, the transaction volume behind the current rise is greater. The analyst wrote:
“Bitcoin reached $16,350 on CoinbasePro an hour ago, and we are now at the highest price level in 34 months (January 6, 2018). The average daily transaction volume this week was $31 billion, compared to $185 at the time. One hundred million U.S. dollars.”
As reported by Cointelegraph, the hurdle for BTC in the short term remains whether the whale will sell at the resistance level of $17,000. Some analysts said that there is obvious resistance in the range of $18,500 to $20,000, which means that the highest level in history may be much closer than most people expected.